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Economic Recovery

Better than Bare Minimum Is Good for Us All

Roughly four-and-a-half million low-wage workers are set to receive a special economic stimulus today, as the federal minimum wage rises from $6.55 to $7.25. Despite grumblings from some economists, conservative pundits, and members of the business community about the dire consequences of a seventy-cent raise for the country’s poorest during this time of uncertainty and tightened belts, increasing the minimum wage is only a good thing—for minimum wage workers and for all of us.

The benefits for low-wage workers are obvious: since 1980, the real (after inflation) value of the minimum wage has declined precipitously, from a high of around $8.00 to a low of around $5.50. In nominal terms, the minimum wage did not budge between 1997 and 2007, even as annual inflation averaged 3 to 4 percent during most of those years. Adjusted for inflation, the minimum wage today is 17 percent lower than it was 1968.

During that same time, the shrinking value of the minimum wage has contributed to a steady increase in income inequality across the board. By 2005, according to the Economic Policy Institute, minimum wage earners made 32 percent of the average hourly wage, down from a peak of 56 percent in 1950 and 40 percent as recently as 1998. Women and minorities make up a disproportionate share of the minimum wage workforce, which at least partly explains the continuing lag between their earnings and those of white men.

Even if times were good, there would be a case for increasing the minimum wage—and indeed, nineteen states plus the District of Columbia have already passed state laws that pay $7.25 or more, and most will be unaffected by the federal increase. Still, the EPI estimates that today’s raise will translate into $1.6 billion in additional annual income for minimum wage workers; which, given the perilous state of today’s economy, represents some much-needed security for workers who are too often used to doing without.

And they are not the only ones who will benefit. For the same reason that boosting social welfare payments in the form of unemployment benefits or food stamps have large positive effects on personal spending, the minimum wage hike will feed directly back into the overall economy at much faster rate than, say, tax cuts for the middle class. Low-income workers are far more likely to spend small windfalls (if a long overdue wage hike can be thought of as a “windfall”) during times of recession than middle- or high-income workers, who tend to sock it away as protection against future uncertainty. The EPI figures that raising the minimum wage to $7.25 will increase consumer spending by more than $5.5 billion over the next twelve months.

Critics of the minimum wage often complain that it increases unemployment by forcing businesses to hire fewer people or eliminate low-productivity jobs during recessions. But there’s very little evidence that this actually happens. Surveying a half-dozen recent studies which “have failed to find a significant impact on unemployment from raising the minimum wage,” Kai Filion of the EPI points out that “if raising the minimum wage leads to millions of families spending billions of more dollars, then this spending creates jobs for other workers and helps offset the theoretically negative impact on employment.”

Not only is the minimum wage’s direct impact on employment largely fictional, but as labor economists William Spriggs and John Schmitt suggested more than a decade ago, the devaluation of the minimum wage over the last quarter century is at least partly responsible for a parallel deterioration in wages throughout the labor market. “The dramatic decline in the real value of the minimum age did not lead firms to expand total job opportunities” like minimum wage criticisms would imply, Spriggs and Schmitt write, “as much as it induced them to alter the composition of employment by substituting low-wage, low-productivity jobs for what used to be higher-productivity, better-paying ones.” So long as the minimum wage remains so appallingly low, in other words, we all pay.

Today’s increase is the final step in a three-year minimum wage hike passed by Congress in 2007. During the 2008 election, Barack Obama promised to keep the upward trend going by increasing the minimum pay for the lowest paid workers to $9.50 by 2011. Let’s hope he can follow through—for their sake and for the rest of us.

Max Fraser

Max Fraser is a journalist based in New York, who writes about labor, housing, and the economy for The Nation and elsewhere. He also directs the Nation’s journalism internship program, and can be reached at max@thenation.com.

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John says:

I wonder how many will be receive pink slips.

July 24, 2009, 10:20 am

Jeremy Cloud says:

It's great for all the minimum wage workers who don't get fired as a result. As if more unemployment were good for anyone right now. Let's not ignore the fact that union contracts are largely based on the minimum wage. This is less about "helping the poor" and more about giving the unions a pig pay increase. So far they have received the domestic auto industry and a big raise. Next, "card check", or voter/worker intimidation will be tried. It's really not that complicated to see the true motivations here.

July 24, 2009, 10:30 am

Sigh says:

Raising the minimum wage is just a stealth tax increase for the government. The more such a worker makes, the more taxes they pay, which means more money for the government. Raising the cost of doing business during a recession a very bad decision.

July 24, 2009, 10:30 am

Jeremy Cloud says:

"big" pay increase ... Freudian slip...

July 24, 2009, 10:31 am

You Are Wrong says:

If raising the minimum wage is fictional, then let's raise it to $30 an hour, or heck $50. According to this article it'll create jobs, right?

July 24, 2009, 10:33 am

Atlas Shrugged says:

They had raised wages for all the Unions in the not-so-fictional book 'Atlas Shrugged'. They also raised them in the during the Great Depression which prolonged it another 4 years. Neither scenario turned out so well. I wonder if this writer ever even took a course in economics. The media has been Obamatized.

July 24, 2009, 10:39 am

Tony says:

Why not make the minimum wage $1000 per hour? That way everyone would have lots of money! Silly bureaucrats think they can legislate economic laws. The higher wages go in the USA, the more jobs will go oversees. It's really that simple! Basic economics should be required learning before being elected to public office.

July 24, 2009, 10:39 am

Steve says:

Does anyone ever consider the worker who has been diligently climbing the ladder, and after a year or so gets a raise to $7.30? They probably have some supervisory responsibilities and as of today make $0.05 more than a newbie off the street. How inspiring!

July 24, 2009, 10:56 am

Ben says:

I will share your article with the 3 individuals I have had to terminate today.

July 24, 2009, 10:59 am

Eric says:

Did any of you who have already commented even bother to read the article? You might find it interesting, because it directly addresses your comments and shows your assumptions are refuted by the research. If you have alternate research then show it, but just repeating debunked assertions indicates you don't want to hear what you don't already believe.

July 24, 2009, 2:17 pm

AB says:

One of the best explanations of the benefits of a higher minimum wage that I've seen in a long time. Unfortunately, most commenters declined to read beyond the title or the first paragraph.

Why don't we just make the minimum wage a quatrillion-zillion dollars? Good grief. Listeningto Glenn Beck all day rots the brain.

July 24, 2009, 5:34 pm


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